Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?
1.5 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsEuropeGeopolitics3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 81.2%+1.5pt
Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$477.2
Low liquidityBid / Ask
13.0% / 24.0%
Spread
11.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
3
7d Change
-4.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Mar 13, 26, 4:57 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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FutuurRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
- Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026??
- Polymarket prices No at 81% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026? resolve?
- Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.