PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 10:36 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 94%
No 94%Market quality
18 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$478.3
Low liquidityOpen interest
$407.5
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Comments
3
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleMar 13, 26, 4:57 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · No
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PredictItRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
- Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.