Current implied probability
Neutrality initiative 6%+1.9pt
Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$172.8
Liquidity
$25.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
3.2% / 6.0%
Spread
2.8 pt
Moderate spread7d Change
-0.4%
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Jul 14, 26, 12:04 AMSep 27, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Neutrality initiative6%
Volume trend
$173Jul 1412d of dataJul 27
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As of market creation, two referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on September 27, 2026:
- - Issue 1: Popular initiative ‘Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative)’ - Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative)’
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
- If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines.