Settled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Sep 28, 2026, 2:50 AM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningNot meaningfully pricedStale data
Data as of Sep 28, 2026, 4:51 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Neutrality initiative0%
Food initiative0%
Neutrality initiativeLost
Food initiativeLost
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
As of market creation, two referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on September 27, 2026:
- - Issue 1: Popular initiative ‘Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (the named outcome)’ - Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (the named outcome)’
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
- If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines.
