Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?
1.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffElectionGeopolitics2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
VAT federal decree 65%+1.0ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$19K
Medium liquiditySpread
12.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
+10.5 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jul 14, 26, 12:08 AM UTCNov 29, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
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FutuurRules
As of market creation, four referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on November 29, 2026:
- - Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT - Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ - Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ - Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
- If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines.