Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?
3.5 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 65%-3.5pt
Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$20
Liquidity
$1.7K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
32.0% / 38.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
+4.5 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jul 8, 26, 10:24 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Mamdani raise property taxes?
KalshiSwitzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?
PolymarketSwitzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?
PolymarketWill Nebraska cut property taxes by $250 million?
KalshiWill the Bay Area transit funding measure pass in November
Manifold MarketsWill Nauru’s name-change referendum pass?
KalshiRules
Florida Amendment 3, also referred to as "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" and the "Homestead Tax Exemptions, Property Assessments, and Spending Restrictions Amendment" is a Florida legislatively referred constitutional amendment currently scheduled for voting as a ballot measure on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by the numerical threshold of voters in Florida required for it to pass at the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
- This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.