Current implied probability
V 78.2%+9.5pt
Market quality
54 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$21
Liquidity
$8.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
76.0% / 81.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
+17.5 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Aug 13, 26, 9:32 AM UTCSep 13, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to C or KD?
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Manifold MarketsWill nacionalists win Sweden elections in 2026
Manifold MarketsRules
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
- This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
- Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties.
