Current implied probability
SD 82.2%+2.5pt
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$839.3
Liquidity
$9.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
81.0% / 84.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
+18.5 pts
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Aug 13, 26, 9:22 AM UTCSep 13, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to C or KD?
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Manifold MarketsWill nacionalists win Sweden elections in 2026
Manifold MarketsRules
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “SD” if Sweden Democrats (SD) wins more valid votes than Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve to “M” if Moderate Party (M) wins more valid votes than Sweden Democrats (SD) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve 50-50 if both Sweden Democrats (SD) and Moderate Party (M) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
- This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
- Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties.
