PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Democrat 20-25% 21.1%-0.1ptLeader of 9 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$77.6K
High liquiditySpread
1.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
-0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Aug 5, 26, 9:02 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
The 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
- The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively.
- Independent candidates will not represent options for either party.
Open markets
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- Marine Le Pen+1.9pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt30.3%
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KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84%
- Republican Party16%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 more outcomes
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- 24h Vol
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt51.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.9pt46.5%
- Renan Santos+0.4pt2%
+16 more outcomes
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson-2.0pt67%
- Susan Collins33%
- Total Vol
- $5.3M
- 24h Vol
- $611.7K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate-1.0pt46.1%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt36.3%
- R-House, R-Senate+1.0pt15.7%
+1 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Rhode Island Governor Election Margin of Victory?
- Polymarket prices Democrat 20-25% at 21% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Rhode Island Governor Election Margin of Victory resolve?
- Rhode Island Governor Election Margin of Victory is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Rhode Island Governor Election Margin of Victory settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: The 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.