Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElectionEntertainmentMusic3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityYes 6%
Market quality
83 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$12.2
Liquidity
$70.4K
High liquidityBid / Ask
5.5% / 5.6%
Spread
1.8%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Jan 2, 26, 6:45 PMNov 3, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes6%
Volume trend
$12Jul 225d of dataJul 26
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The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if, as a result of the midterm elections, the Republican Party controls the U.S. presidency, controls the U.S.
- House of Representatives, and holds at least 60 seats in the U.S.
- This market will resolve based on the results of all Congress elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026.
- If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
- A party will be considered to have 'control' of the House of Representatives if it wins a majority of voting seats.