Current implied probability
CAQ 61.9%-2.5ptLeader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$35
Liquidity
$30.4K
High liquiditySpread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
+14.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 27, 26, 11:30 AM UTCOct 5, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Quebec General Election Winner
PolymarketQuebec General Election: PLQ # Seats?
PolymarketQuebec General Election: PCQ # Seats?
PolymarketWhich UK party will next take a decisive second place in the polls?
Manifold MarketsQuebec general election: 3rd place
KalshiQuebec general election: PLQ number of seats?
KalshiRules
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
- If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.
- If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher.
- If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.2pt19%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+48 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3B
- 24h Vol
- $2M
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+7.2pt54.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-8.0pt43.6%
- Renan Santos+0.3pt2%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-3.1pt35.4%
- Édouard Philippe31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.5%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Fraud+68.0pt99%
- Transgender+62.0pt99%
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline+55.0pt99%
+36 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.5pt18%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt4%
+39 more outcomes
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+2.0pt86%
- Republican Party-2.0pt14%
- Total Vol
- $29.9M
- 24h Vol
- $557.8K
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Florida Governor winner?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Quebec General Election: Second Place?
- Polymarket prices CAQ at 62% as of September 11, 2026.
- When does Quebec General Election: Second Place resolve?
- Quebec General Election: Second Place is scheduled to resolve on October 5, 2026.
- How is Quebec General Election: Second Place settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.