PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
October 31 83%+11.0ptLeader of 3 outcomes
October 31 83%+11.0ptMarket quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$48.1K
Liquidity
$20.3K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Sep 25, 26, 8:21 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pakistan takes a qualifying military action against Afghanistan between this market’s creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Afghanistan Time (AFT).
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Pakistan, that directly impacts Afghanistan.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Pakistan.