PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityDemocratic Party 90%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$22.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
10.0% / 11.0%
Spread
10.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jan 28, 26, 9:54 PMNov 3, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Democratic Party90%
Volume trend
$3Jul 155d of dataJul 21
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This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-03 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.