This market resolved: John Healey
Resolved: Jul 20, 2026, 7:48 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 20, 2026, 7:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current implied probability
John Healey 100%+99.5ptLeader of 35 outcomes
Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$243.7K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknown7d Change
-5.5 pts
Market data
Updated 42 days ago
StaleJun 21, 26, 8:23 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Probability Timeline
Shabana Mahmood90%
Wes Streeting3%
Ed Miliband6%
Pat McFadden2%
Yvette Cooper5%
Darren Jones3%
Miatta Fahnbulleh35%
No next Chancellor in 20261%
Person D0%
Person E0%
Person F0%
Person G0%
Person H0%
Person I0%
Person J0%
Person K0%
Person L0%
Person M0%
Person N0%
Person O0%
Person P0%
Person Q0%
Person R0%
Person S0%
Person T0%
Person U0%
Person V0%
Person W0%
Person X0%
Person Y0%
Person Z0%
Other0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch.
- Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “the named outcome”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
