Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 1, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Alfred Cannan 36%+1.5ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$146
Liquidity
$38.4K
High liquiditySpread
5.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
3
7d Change
+0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 55 minutes ago
LaggingJul 28, 26, 10:37 PMSep 24, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Rules
Parliamentary elections to elect the House of Keys of the Isle of Man are scheduled to take place on September 24, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chief Minister of the Isle of Man following the 2026 Isle of Man parliamentary elections.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in.
- Any interim or caretaker Chief Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Chief Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the Isle of Man; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
