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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

1.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticsElectionMiddle East1mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 7%-0.0%
Market quality

52 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$1.9K

Liquidity

$15.9K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

6.0% / 8.0%

Spread

33.3%

Wide spread
7d Change

-6.5%

Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

Apr 30, 26, 12:08 AMJul 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes7%

Rules

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • Only definitive announcements will count.
  • Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • Only definitive announcements will count.
  • Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.