Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?
PoliticsOne-OffElectionGeopoliticsMiddle East29dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 97.7%
Forecasters
56
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 13, 23, 4:34 PM UTCOct 7, 26, 9:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel before the end of 2026?
Manifold Markets[ACX 2026] Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel during 2026?
Manifold Markets[ACX 2026] Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel during 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Serhii Koretskyi remain Prime Minister of Ukraine through the end of 2026?
FutuurWill Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City before October?
KalshiWill Benjamin Netanyahu be pardoned?
KalshiRules
The conflict between Israel and Hamas is a long-standing and complex issue characterized by recurring periods of tension, violence, and ceasefire agreements.
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $837.2K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213M
- 24h Vol
- $477.5K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 98% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election? resolve?
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election? is scheduled to resolve on October 7, 2026.
- How is Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The conflict between Israel and Hamas is a long-standing and complex issue characterized by recurring periods of tension, violence, and ceasefire agreements.