PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
August 31 100%+1.4pt
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$87.1K
Liquidity
$1.4M
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
1
7d Change
+63.5 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jul 26, 26, 10:40 PMAug 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a NATO military downs another Russian drone by any means (kinetic, jammer, etc.) between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM Kyiv Time.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying incident will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources.
- Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant incident, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the incident based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (CEST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the incident.
- If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass.
- If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the incident, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time.
