PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
August 15 100%+43.1pt
Market quality
74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$52.8K
Liquidity
$1.9M
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
+54.5 pts
Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Aug 9, 26, 1:40 PMAug 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
100%
100%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Houthis take a qualifying military action against Saudi Arabia by the specified date, 11:59 PM Arabia Standard Time (AST).
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the Houthis, that directly impacts Saudi Arabia.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
