Current implied probability
Hsu Shu-hua 94%-0.5pt
Market quality
71 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$930.3
Liquidity
$22.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
93.0% / 95.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Aug 14, 26, 12:58 PM UTCNov 28, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Nantou County as a result of this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).