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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Lecornu out as French PM by...?
Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

0.1% (24h)One-OffPoliticsEurope6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
2026
2026 28%
Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$71.5

Liquidity

$7.1K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

0.2% / 0.6%

Spread

200.0%

Wide spread
7d Change

-1.8%

Market data

Updated 7 minutes ago

Oct 11, 25, 1:47 AMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
October 31
October 31
0%
2025
2025
0%
November 30
November 30
0%
June 30, 2026
June 30, 2026
0%

Selected outcome

202628%

Rules

On September 9, French President Emmanuel Macron named Sébastien Lecornu as the new French Prime Minister.

Polymarket
  • He resigned on October 6 after his cabinet faced severe opposition.
  • On October 10, President Emmanuel Macron reappointed him as Prime Minister, tasking him with forming a new government.
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sébastien Lecornu is no longer serving as Prime Minister of France for any length of time between October 10 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

On September 9, French President Emmanuel Macron named Sébastien Lecornu as the new French Prime Minister.

Polymarket
  • He resigned on October 6 after his cabinet faced severe opposition.
  • On October 10, President Emmanuel Macron reappointed him as Prime Minister, tasking him with forming a new government.
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sébastien Lecornu is no longer serving as Prime Minister of France for any length of time between October 10 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.