Current implied probability
July 27 50%
July 27 50%Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$657.8
Low liquidityTraders
7
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If Sébastien Lecornu ceases to hold the office of Prime Minister of France for any period of time between the opening and ending dates specified in the market’s details, that market will resolve to "Yes".
- An official announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation or removal before the deadline resolves the market to "Yes" immediately, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal takes effect.
- Once the condition is first met, resolution is final and irrevocable, even if he is subsequently reappointed.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
- The Primary Designated Sources are official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the Government of France (gouvernement.fr) and the Élysée.
- If needed, a consensus of credible reporting by news outlets will be used, honoring the spirit of the market.