Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan?
Geopolitics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Mar 11, 2024, 12:01 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleFeb 20, 24, 8:02 PMMar 10, 24, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
On Feb 18, member of Israeli War Cabinet Benny Gantz said "The world must know — and Hamas leaders must know — that if by Ramadan the hostages are not home, then the fighting will continue, including in Rafah."
- This market will resolve to "Yes” Israel and Hamas agree to a hostage deal by 11:59 PM Palestine Standard Time (UTC +2), March 10, 2024.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Note that an announcement by the resolution date of an agreed hostage deal between Israel and Hamas will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when and if the hostage deal actually takes place.
- Note that any hostage deal agreement will suffice, regardless of the number of hostages agreed to be released.
- The primary resolution source will be formal acknowledgments from Hamas and Israel.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan??
- Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan? resolve?
- Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan? is scheduled to resolve on March 10, 2024.
- How is Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: On Feb 18, member of Israeli War Cabinet Benny Gantz said "The world must know — and Hamas leaders must know — that if by Ramadan the hostages are not home, then the fighting will continue, including in Rafah."