PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 9, 2026, 5:41 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
3.25-4% 47%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
25 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$571.2
Low liquiditySpread
58.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 8, 26, 8:19 PM UTCOct 27, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Israel Election: United Torah Judaism vote share?
PolymarketIsrael Election: The Joint List vote share?
PolymarketWill Juan Carlos I (former King of Spain) die in the United Arab Emirates?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran target the United Arab Emirates by which date?
PolymarketArab Party alliances in the next Knesset elections?
Manifold MarketsWill the Sweden Democrats beat their 2022 vote share (20.54%) in the September 2026 Riksdag election?
Manifold MarketsRules
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Arab List (Ra'am) party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
- The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Arab List (Ra'am)'s party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election.
- Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Arab List (Ra'am) passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
- If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted.
- If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $704M
- 24h Vol
- $804.1K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.1M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.4M
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Israel Election: United Arab List (Ra'am) vote share??
- Polymarket prices 3.25-4% at 47% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Israel Election: United Arab List (Ra'am) vote share? resolve?
- Israel Election: United Arab List (Ra'am) vote share? is scheduled to resolve on October 27, 2026.
- How is Israel Election: United Arab List (Ra'am) vote share? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.