Israel Election: Sami Abu Shehadeh Effectively Banned?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionMiddle East1mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 57%
Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$102.1
Liquidity
$148.7
Low liquidityBid / Ask
24.0% / 86.0%
Spread
62.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 23, 26, 8:11 PM UTCOct 27, 26, 9:59 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
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Manifold MarketsRules
Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sami Abu Shehadeh is effectively banned from standing as a candidate in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Sami Abu Shehadeh from standing as a candidate in the 2026 Knesset election.
- This includes, but is not limited to: Sami Abu Shehadeh being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration as a candidate, removed from a candidates’ list or from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to be elected to the 26th Knesset.
- The disqualification of the candidates’ list on which Sami Abu Shehadeh stands will qualify only where it also renders Sami Abu Shehadeh ineligible to be elected.
