Israel Election: The Democrats Effectively Banned?
2.3 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionMiddle East1mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 99%+2.3pt
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$119
Liquidity
$14.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
0.2% / 1.9%
Spread
1.7 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 25 minutes ago
Sep 23, 26, 8:10 PM UTCOct 27, 26, 9:59 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
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Manifold MarketsRules
Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Democrats is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents The Democrats from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list.
- This includes, but is not limited to: The Democrats’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; The Democrats being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for The Democrats’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
- A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify.
