PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Juliana Stratton (D) 94%+0.1ptLeader of 13 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$20.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
93.8% / 94.2%
Spread
0.4 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Oct 13, 25, 10:38 PMNov 3, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Juliana Stratton (D)94%
Compare venues· Juliana Stratton (D)
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Low | 94% | — | $0 | $20.2K | 22 minutes ago | |
 Kalshi64% match · verified | Low | 97% | — | $0 | $4.2K | 22 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Illinois Senate winner?
1y
97%
3%
49 • Low qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$6.1K
24h Vol$0
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S.
- Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$38Jul 316d of dataJul 22
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This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S.
- Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.