PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Juliana Stratton (D) 98%+1.4pt
Market quality
76 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$926
Liquidity
$37K
High liquidityBid / Ask
2.2% / 2.7%
Spread
0.5 pt
Tight spreadComments
1
7d Change
-0.9 pts
Market data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Oct 13, 25, 10:38 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders.
- In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Illinois Senate winner? · Juliana Stratton 98%
- Also available on Smarkets — Illinois Senate Election Winner · Democrat 96%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Illinois Senate Election Winner?
- Polymarket prices Juliana Stratton (D) at 98% as of September 22, 2026.
- When does Illinois Senate Election Winner resolve?
- Illinois Senate Election Winner is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Illinois Senate Election Winner settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
- Where else is Illinois Senate Election Winner listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi, Smarkets.