How many Mexico border seats will Dems win in the house?
2.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionLatin America6d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
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Stored reference
9+ 72.5%Leader of 3 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
9+ 72.5%Market quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$244
Liquidity
$40.4K
High liquidityOpen interest
$2.1K
Bid / Ask
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9+Spread
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7d Change
-15.5 pts
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Oct 20, 26, 3:14 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
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Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
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Market depth · 9+
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve according to the number of the ten US House of Representatives districts listed below that are won by the Democratic Party in the 2026 United States midterm election.
- The ten districts are Arizona's 6th and 7th Districts, California's 25th and 52nd Districts, New Mexico's 2nd District, and Texas's 15th, 16th, 23rd, 28th, and 34th Districts.
- All elections for those districts held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included.
- Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election.
- Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
- A district counts toward the Democratic total if the winning candidate is the nominee of the Democratic Party or has a ballot-listed affiliation with the Democratic Party.
