Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by which date?
0.1 pts (24h)One-OffGeopoliticsMiddle East3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 15, 2026, 10:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
December 31 5%
Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$20.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
Comments
12
7d Change
-0.3 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Mar 4, 26, 6:47 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe.
- An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by which date??
- Polymarket prices December 31 at 5% as of September 15, 2026.
- When does Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by which date? resolve?
- Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by which date? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.