Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by which date?
0.5 pts (24h)One-OffGeopoliticsMiddle East2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
December 31 · —
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Stored reference
December 31 7%
December 31 7%Market quality
53 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$100.4
Liquidity
$11.9K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$13.2K
Bid / Ask
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December 31Spread
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Comments
12
7d Change
+1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 35 minutes ago
Mar 4, 26, 6:47 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
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June 30Lost
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Market depth · December 31
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe.
- An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.