Current implied probability
Olivier Faure 32%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
57 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$189
Liquidity
$8.9K
Medium liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 9, 26, 10:27 PM UTCOct 10, 26, 6:00 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections.
- The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
- If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
- Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher.
- If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+1.8pt37.4%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt30.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon+1.0pt13.1%
+38 more outcomes
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- 24h Vol
- $1.2M
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt51.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt46.5%
- Renan Santos+0.8pt2%
+16 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.5%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.4%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $214.4M
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson-1.0pt67%
- Susan Collins33%
- Total Vol
- $5.3M
- 24h Vol
- $608.7K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate-1.0pt46.1%
- D-House, R-Senate36.3%
- R-House, R-Senate15.7%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $12.3M
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place?
- Polymarket prices Olivier Faure at 32% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place resolve?
- French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place is scheduled to resolve on October 10, 2026.
- How is French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections.