KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityHaley Thogmartin 60%+56.0%Leader of 17 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.2K
Liquidity
$20.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
8.0% / 10.0%
Spread
25.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Jul 7, 26, 11:46 PMDec 31, 26, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Haley Thogmartin60%
Compare venues· Dee Valladares
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall72% match · auto | Medium | 11% | 0pt | $308.9 | $29.9K | 18 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis pageMost active | Medium | 15% | +4pt | $1.2K | $20.4K | 18 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Big Brother Season 28: 2nd Place
2mo
50%
50%
50%
+38 more outcomes
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$8.1K
24h Vol$308.9
POLYMARKETRules
If Ashley Trail finishes 2nd in Big Brother Season 28, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by Big Brother.
- Any references to Big Brother, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Big Brother and Kalshi.
- If Barrett Pfeiffer finishes 2nd in Big Brother Season 28, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Chuk Anyanwu finishes 2nd in Big Brother Season 28, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Drew Campbell finishes 2nd in Big Brother Season 28, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$1.2kJul 814d of dataJul 21
Related Markets
Big Brother Season 28 · 3rd place
$810.8Rick Devens: 11%KALSHI
KALSHI
Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
$70.8KDee Valladares: 17%KALSHI
KALSHI
Love Island UK: Tuesday Elimination
$42.6KNone: 99%KALSHI
KALSHI
Big Brother Season 28: 3rd Place
$1.1KPerson D: 50%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Who will be officially announced as a competitor on "Dancing with the Stars" (US) before July 1, 2028?
$844.3Ann Coulter: 18.4%
MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSBig Brother Season 28 Winner
$269.3Person D: 50%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Rules
If Ashley Trail finishes 2nd in Big Brother Season 28, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by Big Brother.
- Any references to Big Brother, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Big Brother and Kalshi.
- If Barrett Pfeiffer finishes 2nd in Big Brother Season 28, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Chuk Anyanwu finishes 2nd in Big Brother Season 28, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Drew Campbell finishes 2nd in Big Brother Season 28, then the market resolves to Yes.