Current implied probability
Canceled 94%-1.1%Leader of 25 outcomes
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.6K
Liquidity
$131.4K
High liquidityBid / Ask
0.1% / 0.5%
Spread
400.0%
Wide spread7d Change
+0.1%
Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
May 5, 26, 11:50 PMOct 11, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Canceled94%
Volume trend
$1.6kJul 225d of dataJul 26
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The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
- This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate.
- A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
- If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.