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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. France United Left Primary Winner
France United Left Primary Winner

France United Left Primary Winner

One-OffPoliticsElectionEurope4mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Canceled
Canceled 49%
Leader of 25 outcomes
Market quality

73 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$5.8K

Liquidity

$78.3K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

11.0% / 12.0%

Spread

9.1%

Wide spread
7d Change

+2.5%

Market data

Updated 8 minutes ago

May 5, 26, 11:56 PMOct 11, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Canceled49%

Rules

The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
  • This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate.
  • A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
  • If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
  • The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
  • This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate.
  • A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
  • If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
  • The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.