KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yes 91%+6.0pt
Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$167.9
Liquidity
$706.3
Low liquidityBid / Ask
86.0% / 92.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jul 10, 26, 2:00 PM UTCOct 13, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
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France United Left Primary Winner
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the 2026 United Left primary organized by Front Populaire 2027 is canceled or otherwise not held after Issuance and before Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Front Populaire 2027
- Only reporting from Front Populaire 2027 qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the French United Left primary be canceled??
- Kalshi prices Yes at 91% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the French United Left primary be canceled? resolve?
- Will the French United Left primary be canceled? is scheduled to resolve on October 13, 2026.
- How is Will the French United Left primary be canceled? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the 2026 United Left primary organized by Front Populaire 2027 is canceled or otherwise not held after Issuance and before Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.