What are the current odds for Will another French PM be appointed by the end of 2026??

Futuur prices No at 67% as of October 30, 2026.

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Will another French PM be appointed by the end of 2026?

PoliticsOne-OffElection Europe2mo

FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution data

Current implied probability

No 67%

Market quality

34 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

$1.7K

Low liquidity

Traders

Comments

Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

This event predicts whether a new individual will be officially appointed as Prime Minister of France at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).

For this market, appointment means a formal presidential appointment recorded in the Journal Officiel de la République Française (JORF).
The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the JORF or official presidential announcements.
If a new Prime Minister of France is officially appointed during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Temporary delegations of duties or acting arrangements will not count.

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