Evo Morales arrested by which date?
2.3 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsLatin AmericaCrime & JusticeGeopolitics22d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
September 30 44%-0.1ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$33.6
Low liquidityComments
20
7d Change
-12.9 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Mar 31, 26, 9:43 PM UTCOct 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
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0%
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Evo Morales, former President of Bolivia, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Evo Morales arrested by which date??
- Polymarket prices September 30 at 44% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Evo Morales arrested by which date? resolve?
- Evo Morales arrested by which date? is scheduled to resolve on October 1, 2026.
- How is Evo Morales arrested by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Evo Morales, former President of Bolivia, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.