Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?
1.0 pts (24h)Latin AmericaOne-OffCrime & Justice22d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 92.1%-1.0pt
Market quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$18
Liquidity
$10.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
6.0% / 9.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
4
7d Change
-1.5 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jun 10, 26, 2:27 AM UTCOct 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is charged with a crime or arrested by Brazilian authorities, including by authorities of any state or other subdivision of Brazil, by September 30, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government involved in any action against Bolsonaro and information from Bolsonaro and/or his legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.