PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Sergio Moro 86.3%+3.5ptLeader of 9 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
83 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$15.3K
Liquidity
$212.4K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
13
7d Change
+7.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jun 10, 26, 2:27 AM UTCOct 5, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Paraná Senate Election: 1st Place
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PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraná
PolymarketBrazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Paraná (PR)?
Manifold MarketsElected Governor of Paraná in 2026
FutuurWill Democrats win a 2026 Governor election in a state trump won?
Manifold MarketsRules
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
