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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Paraná Governor Election Winner
Paraná Governor Election Winner

Paraná Governor Election Winner

36.5% (24h)PoliticsOne-OffElectionLatin America3mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Sergio Moro
Sergio Moro 75%+32.5%
Leader of 18 outcomes
Market quality

52 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$926.7

Liquidity

$17.9K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

1.3% / 8.7%

Spread

569.2%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

Jun 10, 26, 2:42 AMOct 5, 26, 3:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Sergio Moro75%

Rules

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
  • Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
  • If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
  • This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
  • If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Rules

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
  • Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
  • If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
  • This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
  • If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).