This market resolved: Prosperity
Resolved: Jul 22, 2026, 8:51 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Prosperity 100%+1.4ptLeader of 32 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$8.7K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+2.5 pts
Market data
Updated 40 days ago
StaleDec 16, 25, 9:17 PMJun 1, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Prosperity100%
NaMA1%
EZEMA1%
GPDP3%
TPLF2%
Other0%
Party A0%
Party B0%
Party C0%
Party D0%
Party E0%
Party F0%
Party G0%
Party H0%
Party I0%
Party J0%
Party K0%
Party L0%
Party M0%
Party N0%
Party O0%
Party P0%
Party Q0%
Party R0%
Party S0%
Party T0%
Party U0%
Party V0%
Party W0%
Party X0%
Party Y0%
Party Z0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Ethiopian House of Peoples' Representatives election.
- If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes.
- In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Ethiopian Parliament.
