Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series
0.3 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffEntertainmentElection10d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Tom Pelphrey – “Task” 43.9%Leader of 7 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$114.8
Liquidity
$8.9K
Medium liquiditySpread
2.1 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
+1.4 pts
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jul 10, 26, 1:07 AMSep 14, 26, 8:00 PM
Trends
Rules
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026.
- The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
- This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series”.
- If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Tom Pelphrey – “Task” is 47%. Quotes span about 10 percentage points between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference Tom Pelphrey – “Task” 47% · 2 venues · 10 pt venue spread
- Also available on Futuur — Emmys 2026: Best Supporting Actor in a Drama Series · Patrick Ball – “The Pitt” 37%
