PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityYes 12%
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$14.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
11.0% / 13.0%
Spread
18.2%
Wide spread7d Change
-0.5%
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
May 25, 26, 2:09 AMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
Yes12%
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
- If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
- Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
- Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.