PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (90%)
Resolved: May 1, 2026, 6:56 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
No 90%+0.0pt
Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$18.4
Liquidity
$1.9K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
5.2% / 15.2%
Spread
10.0 pt
Wide spread7d Change
+1.1 pts
Market data
Updated 129 days ago
StaleMar 30, 26, 10:09 PMApr 30, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
90%
10%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.