Current implied probability
4.3-4.6% 39%-13.0%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
12.0% / 25.0%
Spread
108.3%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jul 17, 26, 12:17 AMOct 20, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
4.3-4.6%39%
Volume trend
$1.3kJul 176d of dataJul 22
Macro-Sensitive Assets
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This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 20, 2026.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
- Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market.
- Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.