PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
6.1 or more · —
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Stored reference
6.1 or more 22.6%Leader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
6.1 or more 22.6%Market quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$18.6
Liquidity
$4.9K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$18.6
Bid / Ask
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6.1 or moreSpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Oct 18, 26, 4:07 AM UTCOct 21, 26, 6:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · 6.1 or more
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will the biggest earthquake be on October 18, 2026?
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PolymarketWhat will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 19, 2026?
KalshiWill Tokyo experience a major earthquake before the end of October 31, 2026?
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the magnitude of the largest earthquake recorded globally on October 20, 2026, as reported by the USGS Earthquake Catalog.
- Brackets: the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome.
- Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
- The observation period is the UTC calendar day: 00:00 UTC to 23:59 UTC on October 20, 2026.
- An earthquake is assigned to the day containing its origin time.
- Magnitude refers to the USGS preferred magnitude value, listed under 'Magnitude' in the format column.