Current implied probability
35+ 26%-1.6ptLeader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
75 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$6K
Liquidity
$144.7K
High liquiditySpread
0.3 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
+1.4 pts
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Aug 7, 26, 1:05 AMSep 20, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Rules
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
- This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election.
- This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
- If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted.
- If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Berlin State Elections: AfD # of seats??
- Polymarket prices 35+ at 26% as of August 27, 2026.
- When does Berlin State Elections: AfD # of seats? resolve?
- Berlin State Elections: AfD # of seats? is scheduled to resolve on September 20, 2026.
- How is Berlin State Elections: AfD # of seats? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.