Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Jan 15?
Geopolitics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Jan 16, 2024, 7:16 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleDec 27, 23, 5:18 PMJan 15, 24, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas between December 26, 2023, and January 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.
- An official ceasefire agreement requires public recognition by both parties.
- Any form of informal, unratified, or verbal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire.
- The ceasefire must last at least 24 hours and have begun before the resolution date.
- For example, if the ceasefire begins on January 15, this market would resolve to "Yes" if the ceasefire continues for 24 hours.
- This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or reports from credible media sources.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Jan 15??
- Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Jan 15? resolve?
- Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Jan 15? is scheduled to resolve on January 15, 2024.
- How is Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Jan 15? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas between December 26, 2023, and January 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.