Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Jan 15?
Geopolitics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Jan 16, 2024, 7:16 AM
Provider-verified resolution
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Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
NoWon
YesLost
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas between December 26, 2023, and January 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.
- An official ceasefire agreement requires public recognition by both parties.
- Any form of informal, unratified, or verbal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire.
- The ceasefire must last at least 24 hours and have begun before the resolution date.
- For example, if the ceasefire begins on January 15, this market would resolve to "Yes" if the ceasefire continues for 24 hours.
- This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or reports from credible media sources.