PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Leonardo Montañez Castro 38%+0.5ptLeader of 15 outcomes
Market quality
41 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$135.1K
High liquiditySpread
25.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
-7.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 5, 26, 11:41 AM UTCJun 6, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Baja California Governor Election Winner
PolymarketQuintana Roo Governor Election Winner
PolymarketZacatecas Governor Election Winner
PolymarketAstros de Jalisco vs Panteras de Aguascalientes
KalshiAstros de Jalisco vs Panteras de Aguascalientes
KalshiMinnesota Governor election: Amy Klobuchar vote percent
KalshiRules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Aguascalientes on June 6, 2027.
- This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial elections.
- Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
- If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Aguascalientes and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Aguascalientes and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Aguascalientes Governor winner? · Leo Montañez 24%
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+13.2pt95%
- Yes-13.2pt5%
- Total Vol
- $20.8M
- 24h Vol
- $3.4M
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)-2.0pt76%
- New People (NL)+2.0pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt2%
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt19%
- Gavin Newsom+4.5pt17%
- Jon Ossoff-0.9pt16%
+48 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.8%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.7%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $218.6M
- 24h Vol
- $870.2K
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+1.2pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt26.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon+1.0pt13.1%
+38 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- New Hampshire Senate winner?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner?
- Polymarket prices Leonardo Montañez Castro at 38% as of September 16, 2026.
- When does Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner resolve?
- Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner is scheduled to resolve on June 6, 2027.
- How is Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Aguascalientes on June 6, 2027.
- Where else is Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.