KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 16, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Leo Montañez 24%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.5K
Low liquiditySpread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Sep 10, 26, 2:00 AM UTCJun 6, 28, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the named outcome wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls.
- See full rules for details.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner · Leonardo Montañez Castro 37%
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+13.2pt95%
- Yes-13.2pt5%
- Total Vol
- $20.8M
- 24h Vol
- $3.4M
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)-2.0pt76%
- New People (NL)+2.0pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt2%
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt19%
- Gavin Newsom+4.5pt17%
- Jon Ossoff-0.9pt16%
+48 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.8%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.7%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $218.6M
- 24h Vol
- $870.2K
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+1.2pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt26.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon+1.0pt13.1%
+38 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- New Hampshire Senate winner?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Aguascalientes Governor winner??
- Kalshi prices Leo Montañez at 24% as of September 16, 2026.
- When does Aguascalientes Governor winner? resolve?
- Aguascalientes Governor winner? is scheduled to resolve on June 6, 2028.
- How is Aguascalientes Governor winner? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Aguascalientes Governor winner? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.