PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 99%+0.1pt
Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1
Liquidity
$26.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
0.2% / 0.8%
Spread
0.6 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Sep 22, 26, 9:07 PM UTCSep 29, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abbas Araghchi is arrested between market creation and September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying arrest occurs when Araghchi is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
- (i) he is criminally booked or processed; (ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument; (iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or (iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
- The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without being taken into physical custody will not qualify.
- The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Open markets
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KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-3.0pt60.4%
- D-House, R-Senate+3.0pt30.7%
- Republicans sweep+0.1pt7.9%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Abbas Araghchi arrested by September 28??
- Polymarket prices No at 99% as of September 25, 2026.
- When does Abbas Araghchi arrested by September 28? resolve?
- Abbas Araghchi arrested by September 28? is scheduled to resolve on September 29, 2026.
- How is Abbas Araghchi arrested by September 28? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abbas Araghchi is arrested between market creation and September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.