PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Jul 27, 2026, 12:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probabilityKate Marshall 90%Leader of 29 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$4.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
89.0% / 90.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Jun 26, 26, 5:49 PMNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Kate Marshall90%
Compare venues· Kate Marshall
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Low | 90% | 0pt | $0 | $4.2K | 19 minutes ago | |
 Kalshi80% match · auto | Low | 92% | +2pt | $0 | $92.5 | 19 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Reno mayoral election winner?
1y
92.9%
7.1%
44 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$252.9
24h Vol$0
KALSHIRules
The 2026 Reno mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Reno, NV.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Reno as a result of this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Nevada, Washoe County, and the City of Reno.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$69Jul 215d of dataJul 27
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The 2026 Reno mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Reno, NV.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Reno as a result of this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Nevada, Washoe County, and the City of Reno.