Current implied probability
Kate Marshall 92.9%
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$92.5
Low liquidityBid / Ask
87.0% / 92.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 28 minutes ago
Jul 9, 26, 9:30 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Kate Marshall92%
Compare venues· Kate Marshall
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall80% match · auto | Low | 90% | 0pt | $0 | $29.6K | 8 minutes ago | Open → |
 KalshiThis page | Low | 92% | +2pt | $0 | $92.5 | 28 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
2026 Reno Mayoral Election Winner
3mo
90%
50%
50%
+26 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$15.6K
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKETRules
If Kate Marshall wins the 2026 Reno, Nevada mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If Kathleen Taylor wins the 2026 Reno, Nevada mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$18Jul 105d of dataJul 18
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If Kate Marshall wins the 2026 Reno, Nevada mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If Kathleen Taylor wins the 2026 Reno, Nevada mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.