Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jun 16, 2026, 9:05 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecastNo 96.7%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 41 days ago
StaleJun 13, 26, 12:13 AMDec 31, 44, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes3%
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.