Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jun 14, 2026, 3:44 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 2.3%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 41 days ago
StaleJun 12, 26, 11:59 PMDec 31, 44, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes2%
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